Academy of Management Today

How Looming Stagflation May Affect Pay

By Paul Friedman

At a time when some forecasts predict continuing or worsening inflation or stagflation and possibly a recession, pay transparency adds to the pressure on organizations’ decision-makers.

Peter Bamberger of Tel Aviv University, an Academy of Management scholar who published a book based on his research on pay transparency, said managers will need to build systems of compensation that are more justifiable and understandable to employees.

“The first step with pay transparency is not necessarily to disclose pay levels of one employee or another employee, but rather to disclose how pay is determined in the organization,” Bamberger said. “Most employees have no understanding whatsoever how their pay is determined in the organization and how other people’s pay is determined in the organization.

“Simply understanding pay processes and procedures, all the evidence suggests, has beneficial effects for both employees and employers with very few, if any, side effects—except that employers have to work harder to build these equitable and fair systems.”

Bamberger said pay transparency is always problematic for decision-makers.

“No one wants their decisions to be transparent to other people—transparency is great when we are the observers, but when we’re the observed, it’s a terrible thing,” Bamberger said. “It comes with potentially unintended negative consequences, especially when you have to think about what happens when people see that they are paid less than other people.

“It becomes problematic for the ones making the decisions, and it can be problematic for the organization,” he said. “So there are complications with pay transparency; there’s no question about it.”

Still, Bamberger said he believes that “sunshine is the best antiseptic,” and pay transparency can produce surprising positive results.

“What the evidence shows is that most employees underestimate how much their superiors are making, and when you think about that, it generates a tendency of individuals to think that they’ll do better by leaving their current organization,”

Bamberger said. “The grass is always greener; if I want a pay increase, I have to go outside, and that movement has costs to the current employer.

“So there’s merit, potentially, in letting people see what the potential income might be for moving up within the organization,” he said.

“I think organizations that are forced to be more accountable and hence build more effective pay systems—more explainable and justifiable pay systems—ultimately enhance the quality of the human capital they can bring in and hold to enhance their competitiveness, which becomes really important in a period of stagflation.”

Author

  • Paul Friedman is a journalist who worked for 45 years at the three major news networks. He began as a writer and reporter and then became a producer of major news broadcasts, including Nightly News and the Today show at NBC, and World News Tonight with Peter Jennings at ABC. He also served as Executive VicePresident of News at ABC and CBS. Later, he taught journalism as a professor at Columbia University, New York University, and Quinnipiac University. Friedman is now semi-retired and lives with his wife in Florida.

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